UPDATED: 11-04-25 19:23 PDT

cfp J Madison 1
  
J Madison             
W-L: ( 7- 1) PR = 82.4458

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Weber State 45-10 905 A Louisville ACC ( 7- 2, 82.1) 14-28 920 A Liberty CUSA ( 4- 4, 62.6) 31-13 927 H Georgia So SUN ( 3- 5, 61.4) 35-10 1004 A Georgia St SUN ( 1- 7, 55.5) 14- 7 1011 H Louisville ACC ( 7- 2, 82.1) 24-14 1018 H Old Dominion SUN ( 6- 3, 74.9) 63-27 1028 A Texas State SUN ( 2- 6, 67.6) 52-20 1108 A Marshall SUN ( 4- 4, 71.9) 1115 H App St SUN ( 4- 4, 67.2) 1122 H Wash St P12 ( 4- 5, 75.6) 1129 A Coastal Car SUN ( 5- 3, 69.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   905 A Louisville             14-28     -14    -4    ---  -10.39
   920 A Liberty                31-13      18    16    +      2.07
   927 H Georgia So             35-10      25    25           0.00
  1004 A Georgia St             14- 7       7    23    ---  -13.00
  1011 H Louisville             24-14      10     4    ++     5.75
  1018 H Old Dominion           63-27      36    11    +++    8.57
  1028 A Texas State            52-20      32    11    +++    9.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   905 A Louisville             14-28     -14    -4    ---  -10.39
  1004 A Georgia St             14- 7       7    23    ---  -13.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1018 H Old Dominion           63-27      36    11    +++    8.57
  1028 A Texas State            52-20      32    11    +++    9.06
  1011 H Louisville             24-14      10     4    ++     5.75
   920 A Liberty                31-13      18    16    +      2.07

J Madison Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` J Madison insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) J Madison
California J Madison   J Madison
Clemson J Madison   J Madison
Duke J Madison   J Madison
Florida St J Madison   J Madison
Georgia Tech J Madison   J Madison
Louisville J Madison   J Madison
Miami Miami insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Miami
UNC J Madison   J Madison
NC St J Madison   J Madison
Pittsburgh J Madison insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) J Madison
SMU J Madison   J Madison
Stanford J Madison   J Madison
Syracuse J Madison   J Madison
Virginia J Madison tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) J Madison
Va Tech J Madison J Madison   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Wake Forest J Madison   J Madison
Army J Madison   J Madison
Charlotte J Madison   J Madison
Ea Carolina J Madison   J Madison
Fla Atlantic J Madison   J Madison
Memphis J Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) J Madison
Navy J Madison   J Madison
No Texas J Madison   J Madison
Rice J Madison   J Madison
So Florida So Florida   So Florida
Temple J Madison   J Madison
Tulane J Madison   J Madison
Tulsa J Madison   J Madison
UAB J Madison   J Madison
UTSA J Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) J Madison
Arizona J Madison   J Madison
Arizona St J Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) J Madison
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor J Madison   J Madison
Cincinnati J Madison   J Madison
Colorado J Madison   J Madison
Houston J Madison   J Madison
Iowa St J Madison   J Madison
Kansas J Madison   J Madison
Kansas St J Madison   J Madison
Oklahoma St J Madison   J Madison
TCU J Madison   J Madison
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF J Madison   J Madison
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia J Madison   J Madison
Illinois Illinois   Illinois
Indiana Indiana tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland J Madison   J Madison
Michigan J Madison   J Madison
Michigan St J Madison   J Madison
Minnesota J Madison   J Madison
Nebraska J Madison   J Madison
Northwestern J Madison   J Madison
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn St J Madison   J Madison
Purdue J Madison   J Madison
Rutgers J Madison   J Madison
UCLA J Madison   J Madison
USC USC tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) USC
Washington Washington   Washington
Wisconsin J Madison   J Madison
Florida Intl J Madison   J Madison
Jacksonv. St J Madison insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) J Madison
Kennesaw St J Madison   J Madison
Liberty J Madison J Madison  
La Tech J Madison   J Madison
Middle Tenn J Madison   J Madison
NM St J Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) J Madison
SHouston St J Madison   J Madison
UTEP J Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) J Madison
We Kentucky J Madison   J Madison
UMass J Madison   J Madison
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
UConn J Madison   J Madison
Akron J Madison   J Madison
Ball St J Madison   J Madison
Bowl. Green J Madison insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) J Madison
Buffalo J Madison   J Madison
Cen Michigan J Madison   J Madison
Ea Michigan J Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) J Madison
Kent State J Madison   J Madison
MiamiOH J Madison   J Madison
No Illinois J Madison   J Madison
Ohio J Madison   J Madison
Toledo J Madison   J Madison
We Michigan J Madison   J Madison
Air Force J Madison   J Madison
Boise State J Madison   J Madison
Colorado St J Madison   J Madison
Fresno St J Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) J Madison
Hawaii J Madison   J Madison
Nevada J Madison   J Madison
New Mexico J Madison   J Madison
San Diego St J Madison   J Madison
San Jose St J Madison   J Madison
UNLV J Madison   J Madison
Utah St J Madison   J Madison
Wyoming J Madison   J Madison
Oregon St J Madison   J Madison
Wash St J Madison   J Madison
Alabama Alabama   Alabama
Arkansas J Madison   J Madison
Auburn J Madison   J Madison
Florida J Madison   J Madison
Georgia Georgia   Georgia
Kentucky J Madison   J Madison
LSU J Madison   J Madison
Missouri J Madison   J Madison
Miss St J Madison   J Madison
Oklahoma Oklahoma   Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ole Miss
So Carolina J Madison   J Madison
Tennessee J Madison   J Madison
Texas Texas   Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M   Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Vanderbilt
App St J Madison insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) J Madison
Arkansas State J Madison tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) J Madison
Coastal Car J Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) J Madison
Georgia So J Madison J Madison  
Georgia St J Madison J Madison  
Louisiana J Madison   J Madison
Marshall J Madison tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) J Madison
Old Dominion J Madison J Madison  
So Miss J Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) J Madison
So Alabama J Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) J Madison
Texas State J Madison J Madison  
Troy J Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) J Madison
La-Monroe J Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) J Madison

PowerWise = 113


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Louisville      ( 7- 2, 82.1)    14-28      -17.78      36.21       3.93         1.21            -8.37
   0 A Liberty         ( 4- 4, 62.6)    31-13      -37.31      16.68       3.93         1.21            49.83
   0 H Georgia So      ( 3- 5, 61.4)    35-10      -38.47      15.52      -3.93         1.21            28.01
   0 A Georgia St      ( 1- 7, 55.5)    14- 7      -44.44       9.55       3.93         1.21            32.59
   0 H Louisville      ( 7- 2, 82.1)    24-14      -17.78      36.21      -3.93         1.21            78.05
   0 H Old Dominion    ( 6- 3, 74.9)    63-27      -24.95      29.04      -3.93         1.21            60.71
   0 A Texas State     ( 2- 6, 67.6)    52-20      -32.32      21.66       3.93         1.21            61.89
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       302.71

winning pts = 311.0776 losing points = -8.3709

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------